"K" Shaped Recovery: A National and Local Economic Outlook

Curtis Dubay, senior economist in the Economic Policy Division at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, tracks the condition of the economy, analyzes the impact of public policy on economic growth, and runs the Chamber’s Chief Economists Committee. The committee consists of chief economists from member businesses. It helps the Chamber formulate economic policies and provides analysis to policymakers in Washington, D.C.

Previously, Dubay was senior economist at the American Bankers Association where he worked on tax issues and followed the economic trends affecting the banking industry. Prior to ABA, he was a research fellow in tax and economic policy at The Heritage Foundation. There he researched and published on tax and economic policy issues.

Earlier in his career, Dubay worked at PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) in the firm’s transfer pricing division structuring international transactions, and before that at the Tax Foundation where he authored three widely recognized and cited reports: Tax Freedom Day, State-Local Tax Burdens, and The State Business Tax Climate Index.

Dubay has researched and published frequently on a wide range of tax and economic issues. He is regularly quoted by the press and has appeared often in the media, including on CNBC, Fox Business, Fox News, and C-SPAN. He has testified before Congress several times and been cited in newspapers such as The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Washington Post, USA Today, and Politico.

Dubay received his master’s degree in economics from the University of Connecticut and his bachelor’s degree in economics and leadership studies from the University of Richmond. He resides in Washington, D.C., with his wife and three sons.

Research: Regional economic analysis, applied microeconomics, and econometric modeling

Ph.D. Economics Oklahoma State University, May 2012
Bachelor of Business Administration in Finance, University of Central Oklahoma, May 2004

Mouhcine Guettabi has been on the ISER faculty since July 2012. He holds a joint appointment with the economics department where he teaches Urban and Regional economics, and Health economics. His research interests range from the role of sprawl in affecting health outcomes to econometric modeling at the sub-national level.

When not at work, Mouhcine enjoys running, playing tennis, and hiking.

Notes
Selected Publications:

“Short-Run Impacts of a Severance Tax Charge: Evidence from Alaska,” with Matthew Reimer and Chloe Tanaka, in Energy Policy 107, May 2017.
“The Impact of Obesity on Consumer Bankruptcy” with Abdul Munasib. Economics and Human Biology, April 2015, 17(3), 208-224.
“The Great Recession and Non-Metropolitan America” with Dan Rickman. Journal of Regional Science, July 2014, 51(5), 863-879.
“Urban Sprawl, Obesogenic Environment, and Child Weight” with Abdul Munasib. Journal of Regional Science, June 2014, 54(3), 378-401.
“Space Obesity: The Effect of Remoteness on County Obesity” with Abdul Muansib. Growth and Change, May 2014, 45(4), 518-548.
Selected ISER Reports and Working Papers:

A Regional Assessment of Borough Government Finances and Employment, June 2017.
“What’s Happened to the Alaska Economy Since Oil Prices Dropped?” Alaska Snapshot, November 2016.
“Alaska Employer Health Care Benefits: A Survey of Alaska Employers” with Gunnar Knapp and Rosyland Frasier. October, 2014.
“Current and Future Medical Costs of Childhood Obesity in Alaska” April, 2014. Reprinted in Alaska Medicine 09/2014; 55:29-36.
“The Economic Importance of the Bristol Bay Salmon Industry” With Gunnar Knapp and Scott Goldsmith. April, 2013.
Selected Presentations:

“The role of program evaluation in shaping health policy.” Keynote Speaker at the Alaska Health Summit. January 28th, 2015.
“The Shale Boom and State Level Occupational Outcomes.” USAEE/IAEE North American Conference, Anchorage, AK summer 2013.
“Aces High or Low? The Impact of a severance tax change on Alaskan Oil Activity.” Western Regional Science Association, San Diego, California. March, 2013.

Mr. Sullivan is a fourth-generation Alaskan with 20 years of government, media and community relations experience across Alaska and the Northwest. A graduate of the University of Oregon, he currently serves as the government and public affairs manager for Marathon Petroleum Corporation in Alaska. Previously, he held the position of state public affairs director for Caelus Energy Alaska and Pioneer Natural Resources Alaska, Inc before that. Before his years with Pioneer, Mr. Sullivan worked for one of the largest statewide public affairs group, MSI Communications providing high level consultation around campaign strategies, crisis communications, stakeholder engagement and a variety of other subjects for a variety of state, national and international clients.

Mr. Sullivan serves as the chairman of the government and public affairs committee for the Alaska Oil and Gas Association (AOGA), on the executive committee and past board chair of the Alaska Chamber, and serves also on the Resource Development Council of Alaska board as well. He and his wife are both lifelong Alaskans and share their love of the state with their two daughters and dog.