Over the past decade, China has moved in the minds of many global beauty executives from “indispensable growth engine” to “strategic liability.” Slowing growth, geopolitical tensions, margin compression, regulatory uncertainty, and intense local competition led many Western brands to pause, scale back or exit altogether.
But markets do not stand still - and neither does China. Today, the external environment looks different. Domestic market headwinds in the US and Europe are forcing brands to rethink their global growth mix. Chinese consumer demand is evolving rather than collapsing. Channel dynamics continue to innovate at speed. The competitive landscape has reset. And new commercial models are reshaping how brands can enter and scale with greater capital discipline.
We will take a sober, commercial look at what has actually changed - and what has not. For brands willing to approach the market differently, 2026 may represent less a comeback story - and more a structural inflection point.