I have a real gem for this next webcast on June 23rd at the usual 4 pm (eastern) time. My guest is Claudia Sahm, one of the brightest economists and most astute observers of the Fed that I have ever met in my 35 years in this business. She is also an expert on fiscal policy, which has moved from overdrive into reverse. Claudia has experience inside Washington, having worked as Senior Economist at the Fed and also served as a Senior Economic Advisor to the Obama White House. Most recently, she was hired as the Chief Economic Consultant to the Conservative Party of Canada. Claudia has constructed her own proprietary “recession-probability” indicator -- and promises to share it with us on the call.